Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.087631 0.097650 0.107964 0.119348 0.131534 0.144160 0.158205
2025-01-05 0.071202 0.086192 0.102470 0.121332 0.142461 0.165277 0.191656
2025-01-12 0.059253 0.077357 0.097973 0.122874 0.151828 0.184134 0.222608
2025-01-19 0.049780 0.069755 0.093511 0.123276 0.159002 0.199962 0.249922
2025-01-26 0.046614 0.069075 0.096705 0.132288 0.176001 0.227099 0.290478
2025-02-02 0.041013 0.064523 0.094486 0.134173 0.184074 0.243524 0.318465
2025-02-09 0.036809 0.061230 0.093381 0.137044 0.193068 0.260909 0.347602
2025-02-16 0.032119 0.056691 0.090156 0.136776 0.197814 0.272915 0.370163
2025-02-23 0.030691 0.056590 0.092740 0.144020 0.212109 0.296811 0.407482
2025-03-02 0.028967 0.055829 0.094256 0.149741 0.224422 0.318307 0.442027
2025-03-09 0.025035 0.051258 0.090025 0.147321 0.225809 0.325811 0.459019
2025-03-16 0.021249 0.046463 0.085075 0.143541 0.225085 0.330393 0.472185
2025-03-23 0.019810 0.045532 0.085967 0.148283 0.236322 0.351109 0.506836
2025-03-30 0.018153 0.044071 0.085980 0.151784 0.246008 0.370078 0.539702
2025-04-06 0.016387 0.042200 0.085207 0.154055 0.253999 0.386922 0.570064
2025-04-13 0.014492 0.039833 0.083445 0.154708 0.259653 0.400673 0.596520
2025-04-20 0.014641 0.041431 0.088200 0.165305 0.279549 0.433740 0.648598
2025-04-27 0.013279 0.039838 0.087531 0.167532 0.287481 0.450738 0.679690
2025-05-04 0.012238 0.038760 0.087631 0.170887 0.297034 0.469996 0.713915
2025-05-11 0.010742 0.036484 0.085485 0.170580 0.301174 0.481838 0.738337
2025-05-18 0.010632 0.037293 0.088795 0.179006 0.318237 0.511607 0.786951
2025-05-25 0.010279 0.037489 0.090987 0.185647 0.332721 0.537921 0.831112
2025-06-01 0.008764 0.034670 0.087477 0.182841 0.332981 0.544364 0.848426